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MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered record revenue of $252.4M (+92% YoY) and net income of $123.1M, aided by a $343.1M gain on fair value of digital assets; diluted EPS was $0.27 .
- The company announced two strategic initiatives: (1) pending majority acquisition of Exaion (EDF subsidiary) to accelerate AI/HPC private cloud expansion, and (2) a collaboration with MPLX to develop integrated power generation and data center campuses initially ~400 MW, expandable to 1.5 GW in West Texas .
- Bitcoin holdings rose to 52,850 BTC (incl. loaned/pledged/actively managed) with energized hashrate at 60.4 EH/s; purchased energy cost per BTC was $39,235 and cost per petahash per day improved 15% YoY to $31.3 .
- Versus S&P Global consensus: revenue slightly missed, EPS missed, and EBITDA was below consensus; differences reflect non-GAAP adjustments and SPGI “Primary EPS” normalization vs company diluted EPS*.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record revenue and energized hashrate: “Q3 2025 delivered record revenue and energized hashrate of 60.4 EH/s… the highest in the company’s history.”
- Strategic energy and AI initiatives: “We are jointly announcing a collaboration with MPLX… initial capacity is expected to reach ~400 MW, with the option to expand up to 1.5 GW…,” and pending Exaion acquisition to extend private cloud/AI capabilities .
- Operational efficiency: Cost/petahash/day improved 15% YoY to $31.3; cost per kWh remained $0.04 at owned sites .
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What Went Wrong
- Higher purchased energy costs: $43.1M vs $27.0M prior year, driven by expanded owned mining operations and 64% hashrate growth .
- Operating and maintenance costs increased to $26.3M (vs $9.4M prior year) due to shipping/warehouse fees and labor costs .
- Continued reliance on third‑party hosting and other energy costs of $75.7M (+$12.0M YoY); management aims to phase these out over time .
Financial Results
Estimates vs Actual (S&P Global) – Q3 2025
*Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: SPGI “Primary EPS” and “EBITDA” reflect SPGI methodologies; company reports diluted EPS and EBITDA/Adjusted EBITDA per reconciliations, leading to differences .
KPIs and Operational Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Electrons are the new oil. Energy is becoming the defining resource of the digital economy…” .
- “Our guiding metric is simple: profit per megawatt hour… whether in Bitcoin, AI inference, or grid stability.” .
- “Initial capacity is expected to reach ~400 MW, with the option to expand up to 1.5 GW across three planned sites” (MPLX collaboration) .
- “As of September 30, 2025, we held a total of 52,850 Bitcoin, including 17,357 Bitcoin that were loaned, actively managed, and pledged as collateral” .
- “We have exited near-term investment in two-phase immersion… focus resources on opportunities with more immediate and higher return potential.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Strategic emphasis: Owning energy assets and integrating power generation with compute to deliver lowest cost per token for AI inference; modular/containerized builds for flexibility and capital efficiency .
- Regulatory/process: Build gas-fired generation first (air permits), operate behind-the-meter initially; ERCOT engagement upon grid interconnect .
- Exaion rationale: Access to tier III/IV private cloud expertise, secure data operations, and enterprise customers; expand internationally leveraging EDF subsidiary’s capabilities .
- Business model optionality: Reluctance to commit to colocation-only models; preference for operating inference AI without mandating colocation deals .
- Hashrate growth and diversification: Duty to grow global hashrate to support network security; deployment mix across wind, flare gas, and low-cost assets; Auradine miner adoption for load balancing .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Actual $252.4M narrowly missed SPGI consensus $254.5M* .
- EPS: Company diluted EPS $0.27 vs SPGI Primary EPS consensus $0.675* and SPGI Primary EPS actual $0.375*; difference reflects SPGI normalization vs company diluted EPS methodology .
- EBITDA: Company EBITDA $326.4M vs SPGI EBITDA consensus $327.6M* and SPGI actual $246.7M*; SPGI definitions differ from company’s EBITDA/Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations .
- Implication: Street likely adjusts models for (i) volatility from fair value gains/losses on digital assets, (ii) evolving mix between owned power and third-party hosting, and (iii) AI/HPC ramp timing.
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Expect stock sensitivity to BTC price and fair value marks; watch for execution milestones on MPLX power campuses and additional AI inference deployments as catalysts .
- Medium-term thesis: Vertical integration into owned generation should structurally lower power costs, improve margins, and provide optionality between BTC mining and AI inference workloads .
- Efficiency focus: Despite network difficulty highs, MARA held cost/kWh at $0.04 and improved cost/petahash YoY; continued migration away from third-party hosting should aid unit economics .
- Liquidity/Capital: $1.025B zero-coupon converts issued (2032) and ATM proceeds bolster strategic flexibility; combined liquid assets ~$7B at quarter end .
- International expansion: Exaion (EDF) accelerates sovereign AI/private cloud strategy in Europe; management targets 50% international revenue by 2028 .
- Reporting/Transparency: Shift to quarterly production reporting beginning Q4; MARA Pool remains observable on mempool .
- Watch KPI trajectory: EH/s toward 75 by year-end 2025, BTC holdings activation ratio, cost per token for AI inference, and “profit per MWh” narrative adoption by management .
Appendix: Q3 2025 Additional Data Points (from 8-K & Shareholder Letter)
- Purchased energy costs: $43.1M vs $27.0M prior year, driven by owned operations and 64% growth in hashrate .
- Operating & maintenance: $26.3M vs $9.4M prior year; shipping, warehouse, and labor .
- Third‑party hosting and other energy costs: $75.7M vs $63.7M prior year .
- Depreciation & amortization: $167.3M vs $101.9M prior year; increased fleet deployment .
- Gain on fair value of digital assets (including BTC receivable): $343.1M in Q3 .
- Combined unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and BTC: ~$6.8B as of 9/30/2025 .
- September production update: 218 blocks (+5% M/M), 736 BTC (+4% M/M), EH/s 60.4 (+2% M/M) .
- August production update: 208 blocks, BTC holdings 52,477; wind farm containers/miners connected .